for their failure. china, obvioussy, has plans to fix all of that with a little help from the american taxpayer and, of course, the president. wile we focus on the fiscal cliff negotiations, or more appropately the iasse many our state governments aren't in much better shape. state pensionsystems, unfunded liabilities are now estimated to be in the range of $2.5 trillion to almt $4 trillion. leading is california witmore than $370 billion in unfunded pension liabilities, only 47% are currently fued. a pension debt per household in california of aost $30,000. illinois close behind, $167 billion in unfundedliabilities, 28% funded, and th state pension debt per household amounting to over $34,000. in municipal bonds illinois sold over $5illin bonds this year making it the third biggest debt issuer in the first tee arters this year. california and new york, numbers e and two with. the issue of unfunded pension liabilities with the passage of right-to-work laws is a subject that i'm going to be taking up with our next guest. -@mallory fctor, author of can the bestseller, "shadow boxes: government nioos

to deal with. now, it would take a lot of courage for him and he would have to break a lot of china in his own party to say we've got a short-term fiscal cliff and we've got a bi bigger one that that. i want to head it all off, and it will take a bargain to do it and i'm ready to do it. he talks about it, but he doesn't do it. >> bill: what are the odds? >> it's pretty remote. here are the results of the poll. do you believe president obama and the republicans will reach a budget deal before automatic tax increases are triggered? only 15% say yes. 85% do not believe that deal is going to be reached. we have a brand new bill o'reilly.com poll question for you. do you believe the factor's christmas controversy coverage is accurate or overblown? are we overdoing it or right on it? this is the new bill o'reilly.com. directly ahead, bernie goldberg on accusations the right wing media controls america. >>> later, adam carolla on a judge ordering a dead beat dad not to have any more children. those reports after these messages. [ malennouncer ] it's tt time of year again. time for citi price rewi

way if nothing changed. we also have china that is slowing down. globally and also domestically there is not enough demand to keep the economy going and i would say the worst scenario of all -- i don't think it's going to happen, but probably by march we're going to see some real problems in the economy if nothing happens. >> i think you and i agree if we do go off the cliff, so to speak, on january 1st, that the negotiations to fix this problem would begin somewhere around january 2nd? >> probably the 8:00 a.m. the morning of january 2nd. they are going on right now. >> yes. >> there is probably a slightly better than 50/50 chance that there will be a deal before december 18th. assuming that we're close to a deal, i think it's going to happen right away and the democrats are going to be preparing legislation and it's going to be introduced right away, january 2nd, to make a middle class tax cut retroactive to january 1st. >> yes. exactly. and i think one of the striking things that we're not hearing right now are a stand your ground republicans in the house or in the senate. we

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